On the Verge of a New Renaissance for Mankind, or Nuclear War
A presentation by Helga Zepp-LaRouche, prepared on October 6, for three simultaneous events in Guatemala, Mexico, and Peru, to an assembly of economists, held on October 13.
Thank you so much for inviting me to address your conference. The world is in a very, very dangerous situation. Everyone who watches the strategic development day to day can see how the confrontation between the United States and Russia is increasing. Just a few days ago, the official coordinator for cooperation between the Russian and German government, said on Channel 2 of German TV, that a direct military confrontation between the United States and Russia can no longer be excluded. What he referred to was the complete breakdown of negotiations between Russia and the United States over the Syria crisis.
I think everybody knows that if it comes to war between Russia and the United States, it would be a global war, and it would lead to the annihilation of all of mankind in all likelihood.
Now, there is a second danger to civilization which could also lead, in the end, to a nuclear war, and that is that we are facing a total collapse of the trans-Atlantic financial system; one much, much worse than 2008. The IMF has named Deutsche Bank as the bank with the most risk in the whole global financial system, and depending on the outcome of the [request to the] Department of Justice to reduce the fine of $14 billion which the DOJ has fined Deutsche Bank for criminal manipulations regarding the mortgage crisis in 2007-2008—, because $14 billion would mean de facto the insolvency of Deutsche Bank—, the whole system can go in the coming says.
Now, Deutsche Bank is maybe the worst case, but by far not the only one. Deutsche Bank has $42 trillion in outstanding derivatives, which is about 12 times the entire GDP of the German economy per year, and it's still about 3 to 4 times the GDP of the entire European Union. Therefore, it is obvious that if Deutsche Bank collapses, neither the bail-in law which is now law in the entire European Union, nor the bail-out would be sufficient to solve the problem. And if you look at the engagement of these derivatives with the banks which are counterparty to Deutsche Bank, it involves the entire too-big-to-fail banking system of the trans-Atlantic system, and if Deutsche Bank goes, it could be like the super-nova, evaporating in a very brief time.
A similar situation is true for the Italian banks, for the British banks after the Brexit, and we should not overlook that all of these banks have large fines to pay for crimes. Deutsche Bank had to pay because they manipulated and cheated the customers in the real estate market in the United States. Wells Fargo just had a hearing in the U.S. Congress because they set up 2 million fraudulent, fictitious bank accounts to steal. Then you have the Hongkong Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC), which is openly laundering the entire drug money of the Mexican drug mafia, and they were all involved in the LIBOR manipulation, which caused the three-digit billion losses for their customers.
Without doubt we are heading towards an October crisis. This is not going to be a crisis after the U.S. election: this is now! And all the means of the central banks, i.e. quantitative easing since 2008; negative interest rates, which kills the savings of the population; and now they are talking about "helicopter money" which is really the last straw. All of these tools no longer function.
There is a remedy, and that is, you have to implement immediately the Glass-Steagall banking separation law, exactly as Franklin D. Roosevelt did in 1933. Lyndon LaRouche has enlarged this concept to say that you first have to write off the speculative part of the banks; but then you have a lack of liquidity and therefore, you have to have a credit system in the tradition of Alexander Hamilton, which issues new, large credits for productive investments. You also have to increase the productivity of the economy, you have to have a science driver, and the international space program with global cooperation as well as the vanguard technologies which are developed in that process, is the pinnacle of scientific advancement.
We also need what Roosevelt did at the time, a Pecora Commission. Pecora was the New York State attorney, who investigated the CEOs of the Wall Street banks under oath at the time, to then send many of them to jail. And as a Mr. Kotegawa told us (see interview in this issue), if you don't do that, you cannot reinstate the confidence in the banks, because people will have lost complete confidence in the system.
There is good reason that this can be done. In the United States both parties, the Republicans and the Democrats, have the Glass-Steagall Act in their platforms and despite the fact that Hillary Clinton is not for Glass-Steagall, it is important that in times of crisis such provisions are there. And there is a renewed optimism that you can mobilize the Congress—even if normal people have little hope that the Congress will do something useful—they just voted up the JASTA bill overriding the veto of President Obama, which was a major shift in U.S. policy that provided the families of the victims of September 11th [the opportunity] to sue the Saudi government. This is a tremendous victory, because what was victorious in this situation was a sense for justice. It was completely unjust that the victims of the September 11th terrorist attack would not have the ability, and the families in particular, would not have the ability to bring the criminals responsible for that terrorist act to court. This has now occurred, and there is a tremendous sense that you can move the U.S. Government when people are united for a good plan and they act together.
There is an equal yearning for justice concerning the banking system. The banking system has provided unbelievable profits for a few, while the people they are looting become more and more impoverished. So the time to act is now.
A New Silk Road, a New Financial Order
Now, the other important aspect is that the alternative financial system is already in place. Since 2013, when President Xi Jinping announced the New Silk Road, there has been an unbelievable development internationally to establish a new financial and international credit system. In the tradition of the ancient Silk Road of 2,000 years ago during the Han Dynasty, which at that time was an immense exchange not only of goods, but of culture, of ideas, and most importantly of technologies, e.g. the means to produce silk, make porcelain, and other such vanguard technologies of that time; this same kind of exchange has been occurring now for three years among the nations of the New Silk Road, and with the most modern technologies.
This is the largest infrastructure plan in all of human history: It is about twelve times larger than the Marshall Plan was which was helping to reconstruct Europe after the Second World War, in terms of actual buying power. Right now it encompasses $1.4 trillion; it already involves 43% of the world economy; and 4.4 billion people from 70 countries are participating, and it is the long-term development strategy under the leadership of China. As a matter of fact, it is the only strategic plan to overcome this present geopolitical confrontation that I mentioned in the beginning, because it is based on the idea of a "win-win cooperation" of all countries on this planet.
Very important, in respect to the financial crisis, these countries have started to set up an alternative financial system. They have started the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), where immediately 70 countries wanted to be founding members, despite enormous pressure from the United States not to do so. Even close allies of the United States, like Great Britain, Japan, South Korea, Germany, France, and Canada all wanted to be founding members of this new bank, which has a starting capital of $100 billion, and which can be expanded and will be. They have also created the New Development Bank, the bank of the BRICS countries; the New Silk Road Fund of $40 billion; the Maritime Silk Road Fund; the Shanghai Cooperation Organization has created a new bank; and they have created something called the Contingency Reserve Arrangement which began as a pool of $100 billion, helping the BRICS countries and other developing countries to fend off manipulative speculative attacks like those of George Soros and other speculators.
It is very important that this idea of the New Silk Road is expanding with an unbelievable speed, and many countries, not only in Asia, but also in for example, Eastern and Central Europe are picking up on it. There is now a cooperation between China and Greece, Serbia, Hungary, Czech Republic and even Poland, all working on high-speed trains and infrastructure cooperation. And the idea is to extend this kind of a New Silk Road into the Middle East and into Africa, to address the very, very dramatic situation there; to reconstruct the Middle East after the war, and to develop Africa, so that also the refugee crisis, which is one of the largest humanitarian crises in the world ever, that we can now create conditions where Africa and Southwest Asia are being industrialized so that people will not want to leave their home, but rather, will want to help build up their nations.
All of this is not just business. The Silk Road is by no means only infrastructure in the narrow sense, connecting A to B through trains and ships, but it is also not just a replacement of American imperialism by Chinese imperialism, which is what some media are trying to insinuate. The New Silk Road, put on the agenda by China, is truly a completely different model of cooperation among states. It is based on dialogue, partnership and cooperation; and China does not want to be a new hegemon, but wants to have cooperation with all countries based on a "win-win" mutual benefit, where each country has their own advantage.
China has said many times, as a matter of fact, Xi Jinping has used the formulation that what is needed is a "community of shared destiny." Now, this is what the Schiller Institute has promoted for 25 years when we proposed the Eurasian Land-Bridge when the Soviet Union collapsed, and expanded it in the 25 years since, that the Silk Road must become the World Land-Bridge. We have always said that we need a completely new paradigm based on "win-win cooperation"; and that is exactly what is now pushed by China.
Now people always have suspicions, "What is the real aim of China?" But I have come to the absolute conclusion that China means exactly what they say, that the world must not be run on the basis of a zero-sum game, but on the idea of a harmony of all nations.
A Government of the Wise
Now, 2016 is the 2,567th birthday of Confucius and you have right now a total revival of Confucian philosophy, in all of China, in all schools, universities, cities, and there is right now a two-and-a-half-thousand-year-old history of Confucian tradition in China, with the very short except of the ten years of the Cultural Revolution. This has shaped the Chinese mind to a very large extent—the Confucian idea that the world should be organized in a harmonious way—by allowing the harmonious development of all nations, of all families, of all individuals; and that a country cannot do well, if their neighbors are not doing well. This idea of Confucius that politics must be based on love is now associated with the idea that politics has only one aim, and that is the happiness of people, an idea which used to belong the American Declaration of Independence, and an idea which is also very, very known in the history of European humanism.
Confucius also taught that people ought to have a life filled with learning, and that they should perfect themselves without limit, and that the highest ideal of man is the chun tzu, the wise man who perfects himself in the highest degree. And out of this comes the idea that the sage king is morally much more attractive than the hegemon. This is the same idea as Plato's "philosopher king," that only the wisest and most moral people should rule.
Now, while the hegemon rules by forcing the underlings into submission, the wise king and the wise leadership elevates the people through inspiration. At the recent G20 meeting in Hangzhou, which occurred for the first time under the leadership of China, they have made a wonderful proposal to put the whole world economy on the basis of innovation and to share whatever scientific and technological breakthroughs are being made, immediately, with all other nations, but especially the developing nations, so that their development is not being held up.
Since then, they have announced scientific and technological cooperation among the countries along the New Silk Road; they opened up science and technology parks, huge exchange of scientists and youth, in order to spread these ideas in the quickest possible way. All of these policies are a reflection of the Confucian philosophy.
If you study it more closely, you will realize there is a tremendous affinity between Confucian thinking and European humanism. They are much closer and much more related than most people are aware. While in China, a Confucian Renaissance is fully underway, it is the West which is in urgent need of such a cultural renaissance.
The Western world has plunged into a terrible moral degeneracy and decadence: If you look at the drug addiction, for example, well the case of Mexico, for example, is famous. The drug lords have taken over much of the country. But in the United States drug addiction is the most important cause for the rising suicide rate, which has quadrupled since 2001 since Bush came into office, with suicides in all age groups. If you look at the violence in the United States, but also in other Western parts, you have the police violence, you have the school shootings, you have pornography, you have the total brutalization of behavior, which is a breakdown of civilized relations among people.
So we need urgently, if you want to save humanity, we need a Renaissance of Classical culture. We have to go back to an image of man which emphasizes that which separates man from all other living species, and that is the creativity of the mind of the human being. The problem with popular culture is that it de-emphasizes this creativity. Pop music, for example, if young people go to discos, it almost always goes along with drug consumption, something which destroys the creative faculties of the mind.
Create a Global Classical Renaissance
We need a Classical culture which emphasizes the beauty of the best traditions of Greece, for example, Greek architecture, Greek historical dramas, Greek philosophy, but also the beauty of Dante, of Petrarch, of the Italian Renaissance; in the Spanish culture, of the Andalusian renaissance, of Cervantes, of Goya; in Germany, Schiller, Beethoven, and many other great thinkers.
Now, why is Classical culture so absolutely important? Rather than being a soap opera, where you add irrational emotions one after the other, without rhythm or rhyme, you have in Classical culture either a poetical or a musical idea, and then, according to very strict principles of composition, you develop that idea until it is exhausted, in a thorough-compositional way; and then you come to a conclusion on a higher level of reason. And when you train your mind in this way, in Classical thinking, you become more creative. It leads to an education of the emotions, because if you only rely on your senses, you are just reacting. That is why Friedrich Schiller demanded the aesthetical education of man: namely, through Classical art, the aesthetical education teaches man to feel more noble and to educate our emotions up to the level of reason, so that you can blindly follow your impulses, because then they will never differ from what reason commands. This is why we have to reintroduce beauty into art, and the great German poet Friedrich Schiller said "Art which is not beautiful should not be called art."
In the Greek Classical period, you had the ideal of the identity of the beautiful, the truthful, and the good. And you cannot be truthful if you are not trying to develop the idea of beauty, and you cannot develop the good without being truthful. So there is an inner connection between these because they address the same faculty in the human mind.
The future of mankind very clearly will be in space. If you look at the evolution of man, or even of life as it developed through photosynthesis from the oceans to land, from lower to higher species, and eventually the creativity of mankind. Man settled at the rivers and oceans first; then through infrastructure development, opened up the landlocked areas of continents. And now with the New Silk Road we are completing that phase of the evolution, where man through infrastructure, develops the landlocked areas of all continents. And the natural extension of that infrastructure development will be the opening up of nearby space, probably first a colony on the Moon, and that will be the launching pad for future space operations as our energy sources become more dense. We will be able to even understand much better what is the position of our planet in the Solar System, in the Galaxy, and we will develop a much deeper understanding about the laws of the universe and the relationship of creative mentation to that Universe, because our mind is obviously not outside of the universe, but it's part of the universe, and it is the most developed part.
Many more studies have to made about the connection between the mind and the universe at large, and the better we understand that connection, the more rational we will become as a human species. The great German space scientist Krafft Ehricke developed the beautiful notion of the "Extraterrestrial Imperative," that man becomes truly adult when we understand and conquer space more deeply, because only then will man become fully rational. And Krafft Ehricke, who was a close friend of ours, said at the end of his life, that the importance of great Classical art was absolutely crucial, because even if science is emphasized and developed, this does not yet indicate whether it is applied for something good, or for something bad; it is always man who applies that science which makes the difference. And therefore, the aesthetical and moral education to beauty and to the good is what will make the longevity of the human species possible.
Now, this is why we are saying, so emphatically, that the economic development of the New Silk Road must be combined with a Classical Renaissance of Classical culture, and that we must bring forward the best traditions of each culture, of Chinese poetry and philosophy, of Chinese painting, of Indian philosophy, of African wonderful philosophical contributions from the time of Timbuktu; of other great cultures, and each had a high phase in their culture, like the Arab Renaissance of the Abbasid Dynasty at which point the Arab culture was the most developed.
We have to make the best phases of these periods known, and then have a dialogue between these cultures and out of this will generate a love for the other culture; and we will indeed reach a new paradigm of civilization.
If we make this universal cultural heritage known to all children, through universal education, I think the future will be that such geniuses as Bach, Schiller, Einstein, will not be an exception. There will not be just a second Einstein, but we will have many, many geniuses because we will provide children with a much, much better opportunity to unfold all the potentials which are embedded in them.
Now, I think we are not only on the verge of a potential global war, but with the New Silk Road we are also at the edge of entering a completely new paradigm of civilization, what I call the "Adulthood of Mankind," where we stop behaving like stupid two-year-old little boys kicking each other in the knee.
We are really at an important historical moment, and I would ask all of you to join in a Renaissance movement, because I'm absolutely optimistic that if all good people on the planet are working together to this aim, we can succeed.