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Economies and Markets Crashing: — LaRouche's Policy Must Go Through Now!

August 3, 2016
Traders panic on Wall St. amidst the crash of September 2008. [flickr/thetaxhaven]

The collapse of, not just the credit markets, but the overall economies of Europe and the United States, is now fully underway.

The insertion of Glass-Steagall into both U.S. political parties' platforms is discussed everywhere; but it is only one step towards a goal which has to be reached immediately. There is no waiting until a lame-duck session, or the next Congress: It must be put through.

Why? Because Glass-Steagall is an essential part of a national credit policy to revive production and productivity and cooperate with Asian powers' global infrastructure investments. Without that policy, the trans-Atlantic economies have entered an irreversible collapse much worse than a mere "bank panic," although a bank panic is underway.

The unfortunate faked "stress tests" of major European banks have triggered their general crash on the markets, with trading in the leading Italian banks halted on Tuesday after they had just supposedly been bailed out! An expert calculation of "real bank stress," conducted on an emergency basis and reported in the Financial Times that day, found that the big European banks need an immediate bailout of 900 billion euros — a $1 trillion-plus emergency "TARP" recapitalization — to survive.

The loss of growth, and complete loss of productivity in the trans-Atlantic economies is driving this collapse. In the United States: GDP growth for the past 12 months is 1%; labor productivity has dropped 1.5% so far this year, and hasn't risen in six years; business capital investment has dropped in five of the past six quarters; real weekly wages are again falling.

Leaders of the Federal Reserve — including New York Fed President Dudley on Tuesday, Fed Chair Yellen last week — are making speeches bemoaning the loss of economic productivity, which they have helped bring about by incessant money-printing to bail out bankrupt banks.

Growth in more fundamental aspects which measure the effect of new technologies on labor productivity, has completely disappeared.

The markers in Europe are worse, and public investment has dropped across Europe in the past year by 115-120 billion euros, or about $135 billion.

Another $1 trillion TARP will cure nothing about this collapse. Italy, for example, currently an epicenter of the bank crash, needs a national law to allow creation of national credit for growth — a step currently prohibited by European Union regulations!

Glass-Steagall separation and limitation of insured commercial banks opens up the cure. That cure is national credit institutions that create both credit for new and more productive infrastructure and industry, and the demand for additional credits from private lending banks. Glass-Steagall enforcement opens up the successful banking and credit policies of Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton.

One Senate supporter of the Glass-Steagall bill in that body, believes that if it can be gotten to the floor of the Senate, out of the committee sitting on it, the legislation could pass right now. The national debate and discussion now swirling around Glass-Steagall in the party platforms, has to be turned into action to put the Glass-Steagall legislation through.

American and European societies have sustained tremendous losses since the 2008 financial crash, often described in terms of tens of trillions of dollars, but really measured by the loss of a future for younger generations. This collapse will make that irreversible, unless it is stopped by national action now.

Every citizen can become a creative force in this effort.


STUDY "Glass Steagall"

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

SUPPORTING MATERIAL


European Banks Under Acute Stress After ECB Stress Tests; LaRouche Stresses National Self-Defense

In a long interview with CNBC-TV, Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi said that his government will oppose a bail-in with all its force. In his broken English, Renzi said, "Italy is totally fighting for avoid bail-in because also soft bail-in could be a disaster for the credibility and for the confidence." Renzi also said that the only solution for Italian banks is "growth," and that how to achieve growth is "my dream and my nightmare."

Well, now that he has violated EU rules on bail-in, Renzi should take the next step and violate EU budget rules in order to implement a growth program. In a discussion Tuesday morning, Lyndon LaRouche stressed that although this is not a national but a global crisis, Italy must implement a law for a national credit program for recovery, and European nations should cooperate for national self-defense. This will then "cause the whole [EU/euro] program to be re-examined," LaRouche said.

Anything else is not going to work. Take the "solution" adopted for Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), which nobody is trusting. Monday and Tuesday, Italian banks, as well as other European banks, were hit by head-for-the-exits selling. Unicredit stock trading was suspended both days after having fallen almost 10% on Monday and 5% on Tuesday. The 70% discounted price for MPS's non-performing loans has been seen as a benchmark for future deals, thus forcing other banks with NPLs to recapitalize.

The Financial Times published a chart with the loss in value of five major European banks since the stress tests results were published on Friday: Unicredit -15.9%; Commerzbank -11.2%; Deutsche Bank -6.6%; Credit Suisse -6.1%; Barclays -5.4%.

In the context of no economic growth and a zero/negative interest rate policy, there is no chance that any bank can recover. And now the ECB is also driving corporate finances into bankruptcy. Bloomberg has reported that the ECB purchases of corporate bonds are driving down yields, which last week were at an astonishing 0.7%.

Second quarter figures for Eurozone GDP show a 0.3% (non-) growth, while a review of public investment rates to GDP show a decline of greater than 1% in the 2009-2016 period. This means a loss of EU115-120 billion in investments.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        

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