Russian Academic on Color Revolution, Promotes BRICS as Solution

January 20, 2015

Oleg Ivanov, chairman of the political Science Department at the Diplomatic Academy in Moscow (tied to the Foreign Ministry), published an op-ed in China's Global Times attacking the color revolution in play against Russia, saying that the Russian people's support for independence, and the emergence of the BRICS, will defeat it.

Ivanov writes that the West's short-term goal is to force the government to capitulate to Western interests, but that

"The long-term goal is to split Russian society. On the one hand, it is aimed at breaking bonds between the government and the people, and on the other hand, to drive a wedge between the government and top Russian businessmen.... The rationale behind such steps is to put pressure on the Russian leadership, not making it change its policies but by replacing the leadership - thus repeating the Ukrainian scenario."

He argues that this will fail, that the Russian people will not give up their independence as expressed in the public support for Putin.

"The Russian people see vividly in Ukraine what can happen to a country when protesters cross the line and resort to violence.... Many Russians perceive the tragedy in Ukraine as a sort of vaccination against 'the rampage of democracy.'"

He points to the BRICS as the long term solution:

"Western sanctions pushed Russia to look for new markets and business partners. The most promising area is to the east of Russia, and China ranks high in this respect. What we need is a new edition of interdependent integration projects like BRICS. BRICS can on its own - together with the Western community if it is willing - create an additional alternative pillar to beef up the economic world order.

"Set up by BRICS, the New Development Bank, with capital of $100 billion, is designed as an insurance policy. It is especially urgent when Western-led institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank fail or do not always play a constructive role in the world economy. Through this, Russian businesses will receive new opportunities for development and for the whole country's economy. Success in this area will slow down the recession in Russia and deprive the opposition of a bargaining chip in their strife with the government.

"Russia is an important player in the interdependent economic system. Sanctions have a boomerang effect hurting the opposite side. Under current circumstances the question is who will suffer more and is capable of bearing the pain caused by sanctions longer.

"Such a situation when both sides compete in hurting each other is detrimental to all sides involved and is absurd. It is advisable to remember the proverb 'burn not your house to rid it of the mouse.'"